Army posts Real-Time Threat Forecasting RFI
On June 6, the U.S. Army posted a request for information (RFI) for Real-Time, Continuous Threat Forecasting. Responses are due by 5:00 p.m. Eastern on July 20, according to SAM.gov.
The U.S. Army Combat Capabilities Development Command (DEVCOM), Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Cyber, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (C5ISR) Center is surveying the market to locate/identify interested Business Concerns. The U.S. Army C5ISR Center, Engineering & Systems Integration (ESI) is interested in receiving information from companies that have solutions for real-time continuous forecasting near-term enemy courses of action (ECOA) based on current Situational Awareness (SA), predict fleeting windows of enemy vulnerability in a systems warfare context, and depict those scenarios in geospatial and operational context projected into future time junctures, from minutes and tens of minutes to an hour or a few hours.
Future warfare portends a hyperactive, interactively complex battlefield characterized by robotics and autonomous systems, loitering intelligent munitions, thousands of semi-autonomous entities, short-range point defenses, AI/ML-enabled multi-INT deceptions, small, distributed Soldier-Machine Teams, and self-organizing intelligence networks. To survive a Transparent Battlefield, friendly and enemy forces will continuously reorganize as self-composable edge organizations. As seen in the Ukraine and Nagorno-Karabakh Wars, forces will adapt tactics, techniques, and procedures at a rate that will challenge all-source intelligence analysts’ ability to forecast enemy courses of action (ECOA).
Future military intelligence (MI) staffs cannot assume an enemy whose behavior can be modeled via a doctrinal template. Massive data from networked all-domain sensors makes near term situation prediction easier while the complex and heterogeneous data makes situation visualization difficult. At the same time, Multi-Domain Operations demand that all-source analysts predict fleeting windows of opportunity to target temporary enemy vulnerabilities, i.e., system component vulnerabilities that will likely persist for minutes and hours versus days and weeks.
Interested parties with the ability to prototype and demonstrate real-time continuous threat forecasting should submit a Whitepaper not to exceed 15 pages in length.
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